── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
29%71%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#140
model rank
#51
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
ARG
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sho ShimabukuroJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardQ2Sho Shimabukuro6-4 6-3
2019-02-04M15 AntalyaClayR32Sho Shimabukuro6-4 6-4