── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Tomas Machac
22%78%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-3 7-6(4) |