── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Tomas Machac
27%73%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#155
model rank
#64
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-3 7-6(4) |