── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sho Shimabukuro 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Shintaro Mochizuki
64%36%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
JPN
180cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R32 | Sho Shimabukuro | 7-6(3) 6-4 |
| 2023-11-13 | Kobe CH | Hard | QF | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-3 6-3 |