── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sho Shimabukuro a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Coleman Wong
51%49%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Coleman Wong
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#143
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
HKG
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Coleman Wong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Seoul CH | Hard | F | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-11-11 | Kobe CH | Hard | R32 | Sho Shimabukuro | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2024-09-02 | Shanghai CH | Hard | SF | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-3 7-6(2) |