── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Novak Djokovic
13%87%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 1% / 99%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
27th · below avg
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#3
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
SRB
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thiago Agustin Tirante■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR64Thiago Agustin Tirante2-6 6-4 6-4