── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cristian Garin
62%38%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
26th · below avg
Cristian Garin
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#57
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
CHI
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thiago Agustin Tirante■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR32Thiago Agustin Tirante7-5 6-3