── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Mackenzie Mcdonald
70%30%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#53
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Agustin TiranteMackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR16Thiago Agustin Tirante6-2 6-0