── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cameron Norrie
41%59%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#53
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
GBR
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Agustin TiranteCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Thiago Agustin Tirante6-3 7-5
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR32Cameron Norrie7-5 7-6(5)