── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Tommy Paul
32%68%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
26th · below avg
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thiago Agustin Tirante■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |