── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
41%59%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 23% / 77%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#53
model rank
#33
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Agustin TiranteAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Thiago Agustin Tirante4-6 7-6(4) 6-1 6-3
2024-10-14StockholmHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(2) 6-2