── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Alexei Popyrin
60%40%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
26th · below avg
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#57
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
AUS
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thiago Agustin Tirante■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 6-3 6-4 |