── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Jesper De Jong
58%42%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#53
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
NED
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Agustin TiranteJesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardQ1Thiago Agustin Tirante3-6 6-1 6-3