── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Flavio Cobolli
36%64%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#53
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Agustin TiranteFlavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay12
Hard10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Thiago Agustin Tirante6-3 6-4
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Thiago Agustin Tirante6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-07-03Milan CHClayQFFlavio Cobolli6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-08-23Barletta CHClaySFFlavio Cobolli6-1 1-6 7-5