── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Luca Nardi
72%28%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg
Luca Nardi
45th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#53
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Agustin TiranteLuca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR128Luca Nardi6-4 7-6(5)
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQ1Thiago Agustin Tirante6-4 6-4