── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Alexander Zverev
23%77%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
GER
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco CerundoloAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay31
Hard04
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayQFAlexander Zverev5-7 6-0 6-2
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardQFAlexander Zverev6-1 6-2
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR16Alexander Zverev6-2 6-4 6-4
2025-11-20Davis Cup Finals QF: ARG vs GERHardRRAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(3)
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR16Alexander Zverev6-4 1-0 RET
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR16Francisco Cerundolo7-5 6-3
2025-02-10Buenos AiresClayQFFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR16Francisco Cerundolo6-3 6-4