── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Fabio Fognini
85%15%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Fabio Fognini
43th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco CerundoloFabio Fognini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Francisco Cerundolo6-0 6-3