── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Adrian Mannarino
81%19%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |