── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Daniil Medvedev
35%65%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 |