── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Daniil Medvedev
38%62%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
59th · average
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 |