── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Alexander Bublik
51%49%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
KAZ
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(1) 6-3 6-2 |