── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Andrey Rublev
49%51%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay2–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(6) 7-6(5) |
| 2024-07-22 | Umag | Clay | SF | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2023-07-17 | Bastad | Clay | SF | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3 |
| 2022-07-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-2 |

