── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Andrey Rublev
49%51%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco CerundoloAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay21
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR32Francisco Cerundolo6-3 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardR32Francisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 7-6(5)
2024-07-22UmagClaySFFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(6) 6-4
2023-07-17BastadClaySFAndrey Rublev7-6(6) 6-7(7) 6-3
2022-07-18HamburgClayR16Francisco Cerundolo6-4 6-2