── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Casper Ruud
49%51%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
61th · average
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
NOR
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–2
Clay2–3
── 10 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-7(4) 6-4 10-8 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | SF | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Casper Ruud | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2022-07-11 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami Masters | Hard | SF | Casper Ruud | 6-4 6-1 |