── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Hugo Gaston
82%18%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Hugo Gaston
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
FRA
185cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco CerundoloHugo Gaston
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Francisco Cerundolo2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroClayR32Francisco Cerundolo7-6(9) 6-0
2024-05-20LyonClayR16Hugo Gaston6-2 2-6 6-3