── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Brandon Nakashima
47%53%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
61th · average
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#24
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-20Queen's ClubGrassSFFrancisco Cerundolo6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-09-28Split CHClayR16Francisco Cerundolo6-3 6-1