── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Emilio Nava
74%26%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Emilio Nava
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco CerundoloEmilio Nava
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23SantiagoClayQFFrancisco Cerundolo6-1 6-1
2020-01-06M25 Los Angeles CAHardSFFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-2