── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Cerundolo
Jack Draper
52%48%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
GBR
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco CerundoloJack Draper
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR32Jack Draper6-1 7-5
2024-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: GBR vs ARGHardRRFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(4) 7-5
2023-05-22LyonClayQFFrancisco Cerundolo4-6 6-4 6-3