── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Jack Draper
57%43%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
61th · average
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
GBR
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Jack Draper | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2024-09-13 | Davis Cup Finals RR: GBR vs ARG | Hard | RR | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | QF | Francisco Cerundolo | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |