── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Holger Rune
49%51%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#20
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
DEN
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Holger Rune | 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4 1-6 7-6(7) |
| 2019-08-05 | Manerbio CH | Clay | R64 | Francisco Cerundolo | 7-6(4) 6-0 |