── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Mariano Navone
57%43%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-04-15 | Bucharest | Clay | QF | Mariano Navone | 5-7 6-4 7-5 |