── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Luciano Darderi
59%41%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | F | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 6-2 3-6 7-6(3) |
| 2025-02-17 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-7(1) 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-02-10 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-04-01 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 2-6 7-6(4) |