── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Cerundolo
Alex Michelsen
63%37%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#47
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Cerundolo■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 2-6 7-5 6-4 |