── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Grigor Dimitrov
38%62%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 8% / 92%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
BUL
170cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 1-6 6-3 6-4 |