── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Zhizhen Zhang
70%30%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
CHN
170cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-10-17 | Naples | Hard | R16 | Zhizhen Zhang | 7-6(5) 7-6(11) |