── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Taylor Fritz
25%75%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 5% / 95%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
170cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Clay0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Sebastian Baez | 4-6 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-1 |