── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Alejandro Tabilo
33%67%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
CHI
170cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Santiago | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 7-6(2) 6-1 |
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | Clay | F | Sebastian Baez | 3-6 6-0 6-4 |
| 2022-01-31 | Cordoba | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2021-03-01 | Buenos Aires | Clay | Q1 | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 6-0 |