── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Rinderknech 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Baez
Arthur Rinderknech
37%63%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#89
model rank
#44
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
170cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Baez■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-22KitzbuhelClayR16Sebastian Baez7-6(6) 2-6 6-4