── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Hugo Grenier
78%22%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Hugo Grenier
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#183
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
170cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 7-6(2) |