── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Chun Hsin Tseng
71%29%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Chun Hsin Tseng
9th · poor
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Chun Hsin Tseng
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#156
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
TPE
170cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Chun Hsin Tseng
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-02-17 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2020-11-23 | Sao Paulo CH | Clay | R32 | Chun Hsin Tseng | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |