── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Jenson Brooksby
63%37%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
170cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Jenson Brooksby
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2026-01-12 | Auckland | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 6-0 |