── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Emilio Nava
56%44%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Emilio Nava
47th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Emilio Nava
9th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
170cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rosario CH | Clay | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-3 |