── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Jesper De Jong
55%45%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
NED
170cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2020-01-20 | M15 Monastir | Hard | QF | Sebastian Baez | 2-6 6-3 6-3 |