── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
42%58%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
45th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
ARG
170cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay3–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-2 4-0 RET |
| 2021-10-18 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | SF | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2021-10-11 | Santiago 2 CH | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-11-30 | Campinas CH | Clay | Q2 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2019-09-30 | M15 Santiago | Clay | F | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-1 2-6 6-3 |