── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Tristan Boyer
63%37%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Tristan Boyer
20th · poor
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Tristan Boyer
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
170cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Tristan Boyer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Prostejov CH | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-2 6-4 |