── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Mattia Bellucci
43%57%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 13% / 87%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
ITA
170cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 6-3 |