── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
60%40%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
170cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 |