── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
54%46%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
170cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 |