── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Roman Andres Burruchaga
54%46%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#103
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
170cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 2-6 7-5 6-2 2-0 RET |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 2-6 7-5 6-2 2-0 RET |
| 2025-02-17 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2019-09-30 | M15 Santiago | Clay | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-1 |