── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Vilius Gaubas
65%35%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Vilius Gaubas
15th · poor
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Vilius Gaubas
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#150
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
LTU
170cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Vilius Gaubas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Vilius Gaubas | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | R32 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-1 |