── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Luciano Darderi
36%64%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#77
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
170cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–4
Hard1–1
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Santiago | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(2) 6-1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Luciano Darderi | 6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | QF | Luciano Darderi | 6-0 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2024-07-15 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 2-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-02-05 | Cordoba | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 6-1 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-02-06 | Cordoba | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-4 |