── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Baez a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Baez
Coleman Wong
54%46%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Coleman Wong
56th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Coleman Wong
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#89
model rank
#105
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
HKG
170cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Baez■ Coleman Wong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-17Cancun CHHardQFSebastian Baez6-4 6-0