── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ignacio Buse 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Baez
Ignacio Buse
41%59%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#89
model rank
#58
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
PER
170cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Baez■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-3 |
