── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Baez
Ignacio Buse
37%63%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 56% / 44%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#77
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
PER
170cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sebastian BaezIgnacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresClayR16Sebastian Baez6-4 6-3