── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Otto Virtanen 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Otto Virtanen
Fabio Fognini
60%40%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Otto Virtanen
52th · average
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Return
Otto Virtanen
24th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#116
model rank
#153
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FIN
country
ITA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Otto Virtanen■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | R32 | Otto Virtanen | 6-3 7-6(4) |