── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Otto Virtanen 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Otto Virtanen
Alexandre Muller
62%38%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Otto Virtanen
53th · average
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Otto Virtanen
41th · average
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#88
model rank
#133
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FIN
country
FRA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Otto VirtanenAlexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayQ2Otto Virtanen6-4 6-4
2023-05-01Aix En Provence CHClayR32Otto Virtanen7-6(4) 7-6(7)